Baiu Rainfall Variability and Associated Monsoon Teleconnections.

Precipitation variability over the South Asian monsoon heat low and associated teleconnections

[1] The present study examines the precipitation variability over the South Asian monsoon heat low region and associated teleconnections using high resolution (T106L31) climate simulations performed with the ECHAM5 model. It is found that an intensification of the heat low in response to enhanced precipitation/convection over northwestern India‐Pakistan (NWIP) can induce large‐scale circulation...

Prediction of monsoon rainfall

Prediction of monsoon rainfall for a mesoscale Indian catchment based on stochastical downscaling and objective circulation patterns E. Zehe, A. K. Singh, and A. Bardossy Institute of Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany Civil Engineering Department, Nirma University of Science and Technology (NU) Ahmedabad 382 481, India Institute of Hydraulic Engineering, University of Stuttgart, German...

Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Robustness of SST teleconnections and precursory patterns associated with the Indian summer monsoon

Advancing Indian Monsoon Rainfall Predictions

Despite great strides made in seasonal climate forecasting using dynamical models, skill in predicting the Indian monsoon is woefully poor. Our analysis of the reasons for failure exposes a flaw in the popular design of dynamical prediction systems. The approach of driving atmospheric models with a projected ocean surface temperature presupposes Indian monsoon variability to be a consequence so...